1) Tyler Allgeier
There’s a narrative that Allgeier is basically in a timeshare, which is somewhat true but is being unfairly used against him by most fantasy experts and websites.
Based on the eye test, Allgeier looks like clearly the most talented back out of Atlanta’s backups. Furthermore, the draft day investment suggests there are currently scouts, coaches, and maybe even the owner pulling for Allgeier to do well and become the young, cheap workhorse back on their rookie deal every team dreams of.
It also looks like that while he will be in somewhat of a timeshare, the split will work at least 60/40 in favor of Allgeier – which as we’ve seen with Patterson is enough to warrant weekly fantasy consideration like any teams’ lead back would.
Allgeier has two games with 10 carries this year, and last week he was the most productive of all Falcons RBs despite all receiving exactly 10 carries.
Allgeier has 28 touches for 164 yards from scrimmage (5.9 yards per touch) so far, and Seattle has given up the 3rd-most points to fantasy RBs in 2022. If you can grab Allgeier off waivers, he’s at least worth FLEX consideration and will likely slot right in as an RB2 for teams especially dependent on Patterson or wracked by RB injuries.
2) Corey Davis
With Elijah Moore and Garrett Wilson, its easy to forget about the once-lauded free-agent pickup that was once Corey Davis.
Davis is quietly amassing a WR2 season, and he plays on a team that is about as good at football as the Mud Dogs from The Waterboy without Adam Sandler, which means they’re terrible and are almost always passing due to being down by 50 points.
So far, Davis has achieved the following rankings among wide receivers:
- 21st in yards
- Tied for 7th in yards per catch
- Tied for 9th in catches for first downs
Corey Davis came up big for the Jets Sunday as a receiver and a blocker. First clip put the Jets on the PIT 5. Davis scored on the next play to cut the lead 20-17.
Second clip is the game-winning TD. Davis helps open up a hole, Breece Hall does a good job slipping by Myles Jack. pic.twitter.com/lhcuqwtxV1
— Ethan Greenberg (@EGreenbergJets) October 3, 2022
Corey Davis is currently fantasy’s WR26 based on PRK, which means he’s statistically a low-end WR2 or high-end WR3 already. He has more fantasy points than Adam Thielen, DeVonta Smith, Michael Pittman, Diontae Johnson, and Brandin Cooks.
Davis led all Jets in targets, catches, and receiving yards last week. He also gets the 8th-best matchup for fantasy WRs based on points allowed this week in the Dolphins (who could be without their top corner again).
Football is a chess match — one of things I love most about it. Great example?
The #Jets 75-yard TD to Corey Davis.
No, it was not a bust by Denzel Ward. It was tremendous execution by #NYJ that was three quarters in the making (a thread with help up Next Gen)
— Connor Hughes (@Connor_J_Hughes) September 19, 2022
So depending on your team he’s not a bad FLEX in Week 5 if you’re looking for more consistency (double-digits in three of four weeks).
3) Jacoby Brissett
With some of the craziness at the quarterback position this year in fantasy, you could do much worse than starting Jacoby Brissett if you are currently starting a QB ranked 20th or lower in PRK.
Brissett is one of the few QBs widely available in leagues who also has put up double-digit fantasy points in every game so far. He’s likely also one of the few QBs ranked 15th-25th or later who has done so.
That's a dime from Jacoby Brissett to DPJ!
— NFL (@NFL) October 2, 2022
Brissett’s consistency and volume is obvious: so far each week he’s never thrown more than one interception, has attempted at least 27 passes, has thrown for either at least 200 yards or at least 140 yards and a touchdown, and has added at least 10 yards on the ground each game.
That might not sound like much, but today Jacoby is the 18th-highest scoring QB. That places him right after Tom Brady and Kirk Cousins, and ahead of Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford, and Ryan Tannehill.
In 2022, Brissett ranks among QBs:
- Tied for 7th in passing touchdowns
- 9th in QBR (per ESPN)
- 17th in passer rating (per ESPN)
- 8th in rushing yards
- 23rd in passing yards
Brissett has above-average arm strength, mobility, and decision-making skills which is why the Browns brought him in the first place, and why he’s currently having a startable fantasy season in deeper leagues.
Jacoby Brissett’s pump fake had ‘em in quicksand pic.twitter.com/pmxUpXJdNB
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) October 2, 2022
For example, I waited to draft a QB late in a 12-team league and drafted Stafford like the dumbass I am. At this point, since Stafford faces the Cowboys D this week I plan on benching Stafford until he can at least score double-digit points in back-to-back games (not really a tall ask of a fantasy QB).
Stafford barely scored 10 against the Cardinals, so in my eyes he’s essentially had three single-digit weeks and three dud performances out of the four games that have taken place so far.
A 75% bust rate and leading the league in interceptions while facing the most talented defensive line in the NFL is not what I call a starting fantasy QB. The only reason to start Stafford this week is his big name/reputation in the hopes that this is finally the week the Rams finally get it together.
The losses are likely piling up for Stafford starters and others clinging to some other late-round QB busts, so if you own them how long are you willing to start them in the hopes that they’ve returned to last year’s form? We’re already through about a quarter of the season.
Brissett does get the 12th-best matchup for fantasy QBs in the Chargers this week, so its not a terrible game to roll the dice on him like myself if you can grab him off the waiver wire.