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Chip Bayless FEATURED Football Latest 

2024 Fantasy Rankings: RBs 11 – 20

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By Chip Bayless (click Howie for more Chip)

 

 

 

11) Jonathan Taylor

Taylor finds himself lower down on the list due to injuries and leaving most 2023 investors in their league basements on his way to being a massive Round 1 disappointment.

Hopefully, Taylor can stay healthier in 2024, and his fantasy projections and rankings across all sites rests on that prospect.

Taylor has that deadly combination of size and speed that gives RB coaches wet dreams, and barring another freak injury his body and skillset should allow him to have both the strength to absorb the hits takes in addition to allowing him to outrun other defenders with pure speed, preventing some of those hits in the first place.

While injuries took their fantasy toll last season, Taylor is not an over-the-hill or aging running back about to fall off a cliff. Need some evidence for that? Taylor led the NFL in yards after contact per attempt last season.

Despite missing seven games, among 2023 RBs Taylor still finished:

With Pittman on the outside and Anthony Richardson as another rushing threat, Taylor might just face the fewest stacked boxes and most sparse attention he’s seen in recent memory.

Moreover, the last time we saw Jonathan Taylor fully healthy, he was the Colts offense.

The entire team is built around him from the defense to the QB. That statement isn’t true for anyone else on this list, which is why Taylor tops it.

Despite his overall statistics being somewhat nuked due to missing almost half the season, it’s key to remember Taylor ended 2023 with the fifth-most rushing yards per game of any player, so that’s the type of volume and production you’re looking at when this every-down back is healthy.

His efficiency was still there too, as he had the fourth-best rushing efficiency metric and was 15th in 2023 rush yards over expected per rushing attempt, as reported by Next Gen Stats.

While missing seven games, he also still finished with the 13th-most yards after contact in 2023 and was 15th in rush yards per attempt (according to Pro Football Reference).

As long as Jim Irsay doesn’t trade one of the Colts’ best weapons away for a fish, you won’t regret drafting Jonathan Taylor barring an unlucky early-season injury.

 

 

12) Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry is probably the most overall talented running back on this list when you consider the tantalizing combination of his hulk-like strength and his deceptive explosiveness.


Once Henry gets moving, its obvious most defenders are awe-struck of the prospect of even attempting to bring him down, lest they face a stiff-arm or truck move that results in them being a viral meme for years like Josh Norman.

Henry broke the seventh-most tackles last season and ran for the third-most yards after contact (from Pro Football Reference).

He’s still the red zone demon he once was as well, and he had the second-highest red zone rush percentage (67%) in the league last season, trailing only Joe Mixon – except Derrick Henry never knocked a girl out in a McDonald’s.

After years of toiling away in Tennessee with either nonexistent or below average quarterbacks and talent surrounding him, DHenn will finally enter a season on an elite offense with elite playmakers to take the attention away from him.

With the Titans, Henry faced a substantially high percentage of eight-man boxes and was given all of the opposing defenses’ attention as there was nobody else on the Titans offensive roster that commanded any attention or respect.

Now on the Ravens, Henry will get to run behind one of the best run-blocking units in the league, even with some of the key members being switched out.

Not only that, but he’ll also have the best quarterback he’s had in his career in Lamar Jackson to avert defensive eyes in addition to Mark Andrews and Zay Flowers as passing threats to mitigate and prevent defenses from loading up to stop the run.

The Ravens led the NFL in rushing attempts and rush yards before contact last season, and they allowed the third-lowest pressure percentage last season (according to Pro Football Reference), all of which are signals of the Ravens’ stellar offensive line play and rushing scheme.

In terms of 2023 RBs, Derrick Henry finished:

  • 16th in fantasy PPG & 8th in PRK (per ESPN)
  • 1st in carriers (per ESPN)
  • 2nd in rushing yards to only CMC (per ESPN)
  • 2nd in rushes for 1st downs (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 5th in rushing TDs (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 21st in 20+ yard rushes (per ESPN)

For those concerned about another potentially devastating Henry injury since he’s had one before, and since the Ravens backfield is known for that, I would point to the fact that just last season Henry led the NFL in carries and his body held up to the tune of finishing with the eighth-most total fantasy points among running backs.

The Ravens try to play a dominant form of football with a ball-control offense.

Their ideal gameplan is pounding the hell out of the ball with a trustworthy RB, taking an early lead, and then grinding the game out with more Lamar and RB rushes while their defense hunts for turnovers and sacks.

To do that, the Ravens need a dominant, dependable RB, and Harbaugh has had a reputation for rolling with the hot hand and disliking fumblers.

Interestingly enough, while Henry led the NFL in carries in 2023, he did not fumble once all season, making him one of the most trusted ball-carriers in the entire league, if not the most trusted.

Finally, if you’re concerned that Derrick Henry is two steps away from jumping off the proverbial aging RB cliff, you might want to note that in 2023 he was 12th in rush yards over expected.

His speed doesn’t look to be declining either considering he was clocked as the eighth-fastest ball carrier in the NFL last season (reported by Next Gen Stats).

 

 

13) De’Von Achane

Achane is one of the most polarizing players in terms of 2024 fantasy football in general. The issue is we aren’t sure Achane will “start” at RB per say on the Dolphins with Mostert on the team and his injury history.

However, Achane is expected to yield a significant number of touches due to being one of the top-5 fastest players in the NFL and his nutty production with the few touches he does receive, as evidenced by the fact that he led all 2023 RBs in yards per touch and ranked ninth among all players.

Additionally, Achane was fifth in passer rating when targeted in terms of last year’s crop of RBs.

While Achane might only get 100-150 carries this season, he should average over six yards per carry on those touches, and his rushing average was better than that during his rookie season in 2024. In fact, Achane led all players with 50+ carries in yards per attempt with 7.8 (according to ESPN).

In just his first NFL season and while missing seven games, Achane finished (among backs):

  • 5th in fantasy PPG and 24th in PRK (per ESPN)
  • 1st in rushing efficiency (per Next Gen Stats)
  • 1st in yards per attempt (per Next Gen Stats)
  • Tied for 4th in rushes for at least 20 yards (per ESPN)
  • 6th in rush YPG (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 9th in receiving TDs (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 11th in rushing TDs (per ESPN)

Bolstering Achane’s stock is the fact that he plays in maybe the most elite offense in the entire league considering the Dolphins led the NFL in scoring along with the 49ers with 61 total touchdowns and were second in rushing TDs.

It was made clear during his first season in the league that Achane is a player who can be a key cog in that scoring machine score with the potential to take any touch to the house – and maybe more importantly, the Dolphins know it.

Looking for some proof of that blazing speed? Achane was clocked as the NFL’s fourth, sixth, and 19th-fastest ball carrier last season and joined Tyreek Hill as the only players who cracked the list at least three times, reports Next Gen Stats.

The offensive talent on the Dolphins makes it impossible for teams to even remotely consider focusing on Achane over Tyreek Hill, Waddle, or Mostert, which is another reason for his phenomenal efficiency as he usually sees one-on-one matchups and almost zero eight-man boxes.

In 2023, Achane faced the sixth-fewest stacked boxes in the NFL and that number doesn’t figure to change in 2024. That lack of attention often results in open rushing lanes, and Achane usually makes the defense pay by cutting at absurd angles and dashing down the sideline.

Check out this play from last season where he dropped Bills defenders like they just got sniped on his way to the end zone:

If you’re in search of one final impressive Achane stat to convince you that he needs to be on your roster in 2023, here it is: despite missing seven games, Achane finished second in rush yards over expected to only last year’s fantasy MVP – CMC.

He also had the most mind-blowing rush yards over expected average (RYOE/ATT) of any RB I’ve seen. Achane led all 2023 RBs in RYOE/ATT with a monumental 2.87, doubling the average of the next closest player, Christian McCaffrey.

Finally, Achane led RBs in rush percentage over expected as well (reported by Next Gen Stats).

 

14) Alvin Kamara

Now the aging vet and no longer the promising up-and-comer, Kamara finds himself ranked outside the RB1 tier across most platforms; however, he is still at least a high-end fantasy RB2 due to his volume and undisputed every-down role on the Saints’ offense.

Moreover, Kamara is the only proven dynamic player on the entire offense aside from Chris Olave, so the Saints often look for a draw or a screen pass to Kamara to bail out a terrible offensive drive.

Kamara still possesses the deceptive strength, elite acceleration, and top-notch change of direction skills he once had. His pass-catching skills haven’t declined either (fifth among all players in 2023 catch %), so while he might lack some of the explosive plays that made his name he still has more than enough talent to be a mismatch for most defenders and a nightmare in space.

Kamara’s skills resulted in him achieving these impressive RB metrics in 2023 even though he missed a quarter of the season:

  • 3rd in fantasy PPG & 11th in PRK (per ESPN)
  • 2nd to only Breece Hall in receptions
  • 3rd in targets
  • 6th in receiving yards
  • 6th in YAC (per ESPN)
  • 19th in total scrimmage yards (per Pro Football Reference)
  • 22nd in rushes resulting in 1st downs (per ESPN)

While he didn’t even finish with 700 rushing yards, Kamara still cracked the top-12 in both RB fantasy PPG and total fantasy points as almost half of Kamara’s fantasy value comes from his receiving workload.

Yes, Kamara finished outside the top-25 RBs in carries, but he made up for that by leading backs in receiving yards per game with 35 and finishing 17th in total touches (per Pro Football Reference).

Similarly, Kamara easily led 2023 RBs in receptions per game with 5.8, a stat which ranked 17th among all players (according to Pro Football Reference). It’s not as if he’s just flooded with inefficient volume either as the Saints’ playmaker broke the fifth-most tackles on receptions among the position group.


That dual-usage keeps Kamara on the field early and often, and it should come as no surprise that Kamara finished with the 11th-highest snap share among 2023 halfbacks.

 

 

15) Rachaad White

Rachaad White surprised fantasy experts and football fans across the world last season with his performance as the season-long every-down back for Tampa Bay.

Due to his size and lack of proven experience prior to 2023, many (including ESPN fantasy experts) kept lamenting that White being placed on IR or losing the starting job was inevitable.

In the face of that doubt, all Rachaad White did was go for the fourth-most total scrimmage yards in terms of 2023 RBs, and his 1,539 yards were the eighth-most among all players (reports Pro Football Reference).

Thanks to leading the NFL in catch % and ranking seventh in broken tackles on receptions en route to showcasing his every-down, dual-threat usage, White finished among the top 10 backs in both fantasy points per game and total points in 2023.

This was in large part due to the fact that the Bucs believe in Rachaad White more than most fantasy experts and gave him the second-most total touches in 2023, trailing only CMC in that category.

There are similar concerns for Rachaad White detractors in 2024, but considering he put up these RB rankings just last season, I wouldn’t bet on the White recession that fantasy experts and Trump supporters both seem to be banking on:

  • 10th in fantasy PPG and 4th in PRK (per ESPN)
  • 3rd in carries
  • 4th in receptions
  • 5th in receiving success % (per Pro Football Reference)
  • 9th in targets
  • Tied for 9th in receiving TDs
  • 14th in rushing yards
  • Tied for 17th in rush TDs

We knew White had the change of direction skills to snap ankles combined with quick feet that help him break off long runs at supersonic speed. But what we didn’t know until last season is that White is durable like a tank and is pound-for-pound one of the strongest running backs in the league.

Not only did he play all 17 games, but he also ended the season with the fourth-highest snap share among running backs (according to FantasyPros) while rushing for the 18th-most yards after contact.

Furthermore, much like Kamara, Breece Hall, and CMC, White offers so much receiving value that his role alone keeps him in the high-end RB2 conversation. Last season White had the third-most receiving yards of any RB, and he had the fourth-most yards per target when it came to RBs as well (also from Pro Football Reference).

He was second to only Breece Hall in YAC too (per ESPN), and his 611 receiving yards after the catch ranked seventh across all positions. He was also fourth in passer rating when targeted.

White being ranked inside the top-20 RBs in both rushing and receiving touchdowns was no accident either: the Bucs RB accounted for 60% of his team’s red zone rush attempts which ranked fifth in the NFL (as reported by Pro Football Reference).

 

 

16) David Montgomery

Because Dan Campbell absolutely loves to run the football, the Lions have probably the strongest and most athletic offensive line in the league, and since they are one of the most high-scoring offenses in the entire NFL, there is plenty of room for both Gibbs and Montgomery to feast.

Last year the Lions led the NFL in rushing touchdowns, were third in total scoring, had the fourth-most rushes for 20+ yards, ranked fifth in rushing yards, had the seventh-most rushing attempts and seventh-most rushes for 40+ yards, and had the second-most total scrimmage plays (per NFL.com), giving both their RBs more than enough opportunities.

It helps that his efficiency was absolutely off the charts last season and he did as much as he could with what he was given as any RB in the NFL. In 2023, Montgomery ended the season fifth in rushing success rate, total yards after contact, and yards after contact per attempt (reported by Pro Football Reference) with a crazy 504 of his rushing yards coming after he first made contact with a defender.

He was tied for 13th in broken tackles too, and it’s no surprise when you see him making cuts like this while he glides away from the entire defense for a long score:

We also saw last season that if Gibbs goes down at any point, Montgomery goes from a low-end RB1 or high-end RB2 to one of the top-3 highest-scoring running backs across fantasy football as he accrues all of Detroit’s RB touches.

Here’s how Montgomery’s stats ranked against his positional peers in 2023:

  • 15th in fantasy PPG & 17th in PRK (per ESPN)
  • 3rd in rush TDs (per ESPN)
  • 5th in rush % over expected (per Next Gen Stats)
  • Tied for 5th in rushes for 1st downs (per ESPN)
  • 9th in rushing yards (per ESPN)
  • 15th in rush attempts (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 23rd in rushes for 20+ yards (per ESPN)

Montgomery showed us last season that not only does he have the strength and vision to be a dominant between the tackles runner like he was with the Bears porous offense, but now in one of the top offenses in the league and behind one of the best offensive lines Montgomery has had the opportunity to display his big play ability too.

He’s also a capable receiver out of the backfield, and his versality combined with his size/speed combination allows him the opportunity to get goal line (fourth-most rushes inside the five-yard line) and receiving work in spades.

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Now in his fifth year in the league, Montgomery looks as spry as ever. Not only did he set career highs in both yards per carry and rushing touchdowns, but among 2023 backs he also ranked fifth in rushing efficiency, second in shortest time behind the line of scrimmage, ninth in yards per rush, and had the 16th-most rushing yards over expected (according to Next Gen Stats).

His career-high in touchdowns doesn’t exactly appear fluky or destined for that significant of a regression if any at all considering he accounted for basically half (47%) of all the Lions’ 2024 red zone rushes (as reported by Pro Football Reference).

 

 

17) Josh Jacobs

Much like the name just below him, Josh Jacobs cracks the list in this spot mostly due to his past and expected volume, as he is clearly a little over the hill and his production metrics dropped significantly.

While Jacobs ranked inside the top-5 RBs in snap share, he finished outside the top-25 RBs in yards after contact, and he finished outside the top 40 in yards after contact per attempt.

He also averaged only 3.5 yards per carry, which ranked 43rd in the NFL. Not exactly what you’d like to see out of a supposed high-floor RB2.

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Jacobs still clearly has the build and tenacity to run well between the tackles and sustain a season-long, every-down workload, but the do-it-all, explosive player we once saw in Vegas is clearly past his prime.

However, with Aaron Jones now in Minnesota, Jacobs is expected to be the Packers’ new starter, goal line RB, and probably receiving back.

He had a similar role just last season, and among 2023 RBs he ranked:

  • 18th in fantasy PPG & 28th in PRK (per ESPN)
  • 5th in snap % (per FantasyPros)
  • 10th in carries
  • 15th in rushing yards per game (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 17th in rushing TDs
  • 19th in receiving yards
  • 24th in receptions
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Part of what buoys Jacobs’ 2024 fantasy prospects is the fact that he now gets to play with one of the most promising young quarterbacks in the league instead of the worst, and the Packers are a much more talented offense at almost every position at the present time than the Raiders.

For instance, the Packers ranked ninth in average yards per carry, 11th in total yards, 12th in total points, and fifth in third down conversion percentage (per ESPN) while the Raiders ranked well within the bottom half of the league in most of those statistics.

Jacobs is also widely expected to act as Green Bay’s goal-line back after ranking 12th in red zone rushing share last season, so he could find much of his fantasy value by just being lucky enough to score double-digit touchdowns in a high-scoring offense that gets inside the five yard line often.

Jacobs expects to stay on the field about as much as he did on the Raiders too considering he is more than a capable receiver and finished third in terms of 2023 RBs in receiving success rate (reported by Pro Football Reference).

He finished 15th in YAC per reception as well.

As long as Jacobs doesn’t hit the IR early, he should finish as a top-20 RB in terms of fantasy PPG at least due to his trustiness as a runner, versatility, and willingness as a pass-blocker.

 

 

18) Aaron Jones

Much like Josh Jacobs’ it is Aaron Jones’ projected every-down, high-volume role in his offense that yields him #18 on this year’s list.

Jones is a great receiving back, and is like Rachaad White in the sense that they are both much more physical runners than their size might indicate.

These traits should result in him taking the unquestioned role of the Vikings receiving, goal-line, and starting RB, a role which Minnesota has desperately needed filled every since they let go of Dalvin Cook.

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While he missed half the season, Aaron Jones still managed to place, in terms of 2023’s backs:

  • 26th in fantasy PPG and 37th in PRK (per ESPN)
  • 11th in yards per rush (per Next Gen Stats)
  • 13th in least time behind the line of scrimmage (per Next Gen Stats)
  • 15th in rushing efficiency (per Next Gen Stats)
  • 19th in rushing yards per game (per ESPN)
  • 25th in receiving yards (per ESPN)

While Aaron Jones is just slightly past his prime, he’s not too far removed and is still one of the top-20 most talented RBs in the league, in part evidenced by him averaging the 10th-most yards after contact per rushing attempt last season.



Jones also led RBs in rushing success rate and was ranked second to only Josh Allen when looking at all players (according to Pro Football Reference), and ranked 20th in yards per touch in addition to broken tackles on receptions.

With JJ McCarthy now done for the year with a torn meniscus and Sam Darnold comfortably entrenched as the Vikings’ starter, they’ll need to give Aaron Jones plenty of work to take the pressure off of and prevent the team from depending on the unproven arm of the former Jets’ draft bust.

 

 

19) D’Andre Swift

Swift put up some of the best numbers of his career last season in Philadelphia, but now he moves to team that was in the proverbial basement last season.

While Caleb Williams has been hailed as a generational QB who will take the offensive attention and pressure away from everyone else, there was a reason the Bears were in position to select Rome Odunze with the ninth overall pick.

Much of the issues come down to the Bears’ horrendous offensive line combined with Justin Fields’ tendency to hold the ball to long and take sacks, and the first of those issues doesn’t look all that improved in 2024.

In the face of how terrible the Bears have been the past two seasons, Swift is an immensely talented player who has the capability to take any touch across the goal line from anywhere on the field and he is at the very least expected to be the Bears’ starter and receiving back.

Both of those roles combined with his breakaway speed makes him as relevant as any RB2 or WR2 across fantasy drafts.

Here’s how Swift performed last season compared to other 2023 HBs:

  • 24th in fantasy PPG and 20th in total points (per ESPN)
  • 5th in rushing yards (per ESPN)
  • 12th in carries (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 13th in carries for 20+ yards (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 15th in rushes for 1st downs (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 18th in rushing TDs (per ESPN)
  • 21st in receptions (per ESPN)

While he was 12th in carries, Swift’s stats were not merely due to the Eagles’ talented offensive line and volume.

He did as much with his touches as any RB on this list aside from Achane and Montgomery as Swift placed 10th in rush efficiency (from Next Gen Stat), 10th in broken tackles (according to Pro Football Reference), 12th in yards per carry, and 17th in yards after contact.

Accordingly, he also had the sixth-best rushing success rate of any RB and was 12th in RB scrimmage yards (per Pro Football Reference).

Hopefully for all Bears fans, Caleb Williams at least comes close to fulfilling his hype and is able to raise Swift’s value through the nature of an at least semi-productive offense.

Conversely, as long as Williams plays like even a top-20 QB, the plethora of threats on the Bears offense from Keenan Allen, to Rome Odunze, to D.J. Moore and Cole Kmet should prevent stacked boxes and give Swift some wide-open running lanes and some mismatches against linebackers in the passing game.

 

 

20) James Conner

Conner barely cracks 2024’s top 20 fantasy RBs mainly because he is maybe the last running back in this tier who is expected to be the starting, receiving, and goal-line back for his team, meaning he’ll be on the field almost all the time and will accrue most if not all of the volume that comes out of the Arizona backfield.

After all, he had the 10th-best RB catch percentage in 2023 (per Pro Football Reference), had the ninth-highest passer rating when targeted in terms of RBs (also from Pro Football Reference), and is capable of being a scary downhill runner.

James Conner is faster than he looks and uses cuts that destroy pursuit angles with ease. He also possesses an ideal running back frame short of Derrick Henry with his stature combined with his strength.

Conner can still make defenders miss in space, although he is no longer renown across the league for his break-tackle ability. Overall, his change of direction skills are still elite for the running back position.

He also turns up field after the catch as quickly as any running back on this list, and when you consider his receiving prowess combined with his value as a goal-line rusher (13th in red zone rushing share in 2023), you’ve got one of the top 20 fantasy backs of this season, and it’s no wonder he notched the 14th-best rushing success rate in terms of RBs last season.

Among last season’s fantasy RBs, Conner finished:

  • 18th in fantasy PPG and PRK (per ESPN)
  • 1st in carries for 20+ yards (per ESPN)
  • 3rd in rushing yards over expected (per Next Gen Stats)
  • 6th in rushing yards (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 8th in rushes for 1st downs (per ESPN)
  • Tied for 15th in rushing TDs (per ESPN)
  • 21st in carries (per ESPN)

While Conner is aging, he didn’t show sings of slowing down last season as he had the sixth-highest average yards per carry, and he ranked fourth in rushing yards over expected per attempt while coming in sixth in rush % over expected (according to Next Gen Stats).

In addition, Conner came in ninth in average yards after contact per rushing attempt. and broke the fourth-most tackles, forcing a nutty 27 missed tackles (per Pro Football Reference).

The Cardinals rewarded Conner’s production with the 13th-highest RB snap share last season (reported by FantasyPros).

With Kyler Murray finally healthy, and Marvin Harrison Jr. added into the fold to prevent defenses from loading up to stop the run, Conner should also have some more room to run like he did when the Cardinals had Hopkins or Hollywood Brown.

The only negatives to investing in Conner are his age, injury history, and the fact that he faced the 10th-most stacked boxes of any 2023 RB (per Next Gen Stats); however, Conner investors should hope that Marvin Harrision Jr.’s addition reduces that number in 2024.

 

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